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Official Degenerate Gamblers Thread
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No time for anything in depth, but my quick reaction to the lines on sunday are Las Vegas ML as home dogs. Miami is tough, but bound to have a road let down after beating arch rival patriots. I also like the now under rated WFT and under in that game as well. I'll probably get a bit more in depth later.
Oh...also agree with Rams on the ML. Plus a nickel in vegas. Better team in a big game. Homefield matters, but not as much with empty stands and close geography.The only time success comes before work is in the dictionary -- Vince Lombardi
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Any thoughts on the bowl game today? I like Houston to cover the 8 but I'm always a bit hesitant on bowl games.Originally posted by bobblehead View PostNo time for anything in depth, but my quick reaction to the lines on sunday are Las Vegas ML as home dogs. Miami is tough, but bound to have a road let down after beating arch rival patriots. I also like the now under rated WFT and under in that game as well. I'll probably get a bit more in depth later.
Oh...also agree with Rams on the ML. Plus a nickel in vegas. Better team in a big game. Homefield matters, but not as much with empty stands and close geography.
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ML Colts is a gift at -1 @ -115. I know people might expect a bounce back from Pittsburgh but they just don’t have it. They won’t be able to run the ball against the Colts. R-Burger is showing age and the offense will be one dimensional again in windy weather. The Pitt defense has just suffered too many injuries and isn’t near elite status right now. Indy will be able to move the ball and get enough points to win!!
Give me the value here and Colts at -1 @ -115 all day long!!!
So we “Bleed A little Blue” then “Ram” It” and then “Pack” up all the $”Last edited by GB-Brandon; 12-24-2020, 01:28 PM.
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I generally don't get enough time to watch college ball so I never have a good feel for betting. Some years I manage to watch about half the big 10 games and then I'll bet that conference only, but this year I have watched about 4 total college games.Originally posted by Airin' Rodgers View PostAny thoughts on the bowl game today? I like Houston to cover the 8 but I'm always a bit hesitant on bowl games.
I did see the final score though and I hope you were hesitant enough to not bet.The only time success comes before work is in the dictionary -- Vince Lombardi
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I agree with you on that game, but I hate betting against the wounded animal in a HUGE home game. All my logic says you are correct and Indy should win and cover, but I can't quite pull the trigger on it. As for the Packers, I rarely bet the games. When I do I'm usually backing a division rival getting way too many points against us. Personally I am terrified of this matchup for our Defense and not confident at all. Weird...you being all in on them and me not having confidence here.Originally posted by GB-Brandon View PostML Colts is a gift at -1 @ -115. I know people might expect a bounce back from Pittsburgh but they just don’t have it. They won’t be able to run the ball against the Colts. R-Burger is showing age and the offense will be one dimensional again in windy weather. The Pitt defense has just suffered too many injuries and isn’t near elite status right now. Indy will be able to move the ball and get enough points to win!!
Give me the value here and Colts at -1 @ -115 all day long!!!
So we “Bleed A little Blue” then “Ram” It” and then “Pack” up all the $”
I'll be happy enough with a win, don't need any financial interest in the game.The only time success comes before work is in the dictionary -- Vince Lombardi
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So a bit more in depth. Miami won the huge game against the Pats. Very emotional win for a young team. Now they have to go on the road, short week, and play a Raider team that got a lot of early love, but isn't getting much respect lately. Its a perfect time for a young team to let down and a team that has played solid, but suffered some tough losses to show up. I think it will be a tight game, but I think LV will bring just enough to the table early to win it. Miami is better, but they can't let down and then win late on talent like a really good team can and that is what I expect to happen here. LV builds a lead and holds on late.Originally posted by bobblehead View PostNo time for anything in depth, but my quick reaction to the lines on sunday are Las Vegas ML as home dogs. Miami is tough, but bound to have a road let down after beating arch rival patriots. I also like the now under rated WFT and under in that game as well. I'll probably get a bit more in depth later.
Oh...also agree with Rams on the ML. Plus a nickel in vegas. Better team in a big game. Homefield matters, but not as much with empty stands and close geography.
Washington is similar to Miami. Peaking at the right time. Rivera is a damn good coach. Washington D is really good. Maybe the best 1/2 edge combo in the game (when sweat and burns were both there at 12 I wanted packers to trade back a bit. I was almost as pissed at the Gary pick as the Love pick). WFT lost a tough game to seattle. They aren't quite there yet, but Carolina would have lost by 20 to us if we had stuck with the run. I think WFT bounces back with an inspired home game as Rivera pushes them to the playoffs. Also, a play on under 44 doesn't look too bad in this game. I see 2 respectable defenses and 2 not so good offenses in a cold game.The only time success comes before work is in the dictionary -- Vince Lombardi
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Today was a very nice start to my “ Christmas Weekend Parlay”
Bet Details:
284 Coastal Carolina (-290) (NCAA FB)
WON: 452 Saints (-325) (NFL) Score: 52-33
WON: 580 Bucks (-450) (NBA) Score: 138-99
WON: 751 Wisconsin -1½ (-110) (NCAA Men) Score: 85-76
475 Rams (-103) (NFL)
480 Packers (-175) (NFL)
I have since hedged Coastal Carolina with Liberty for good measure. Packers and Rams are Locks.
I guess I gotta do it!
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We are at severe odds in the NFL. Bucs are laying 12 I think. Absolutely zero value on the ML and laying that wood on the road is suicidal. I've said my piece on Miami. And as for AZ, I actually thing the team you told me the packers couldn't compete with are getting back the most deadly duel threat in the game (Kittles). I could see a str8 upset, but I like +6 more. And again, the value on AZ ML is -260 which is more than I care to lay in a division game. AZ is at home, but SF has been in AZ since they were all but told by the governor you can't actually play or practice in SF.Originally posted by GB-Brandon View PostTomorrow I have Cardinals winning. Bucc’s winning. Dolphins winning. Enter point spreads at your own risk.
Plus an easy college basketball play that I’m holding close to my chest!!!The only time success comes before work is in the dictionary -- Vince Lombardi
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These are all games I’m using to push value in different “Parlays” in my “System” along with Liberty @ +8. And what the hell it’s Christmas so my college basketball game Illinois -240 as well. “Cumulative Value”Originally posted by bobblehead View PostWe are at severe odds in the NFL. Bucs are laying 12 I think. Absolutely zero value on the ML and laying that wood on the road is suicidal. I've said my piece on Miami. And as for AZ, I actually thing the team you told me the packers couldn't compete with are getting back the most deadly duel threat in the game (Kittles). I could see a str8 upset, but I like +6 more. And again, the value on AZ ML is -260 which is more than I care to lay in a division game. AZ is at home, but SF has been in AZ since they were all but told by the governor you can't actually play or practice in SF.
Last edited by GB-Brandon; 12-26-2020, 12:32 PM.
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Bucc’s at -430. Nothing amazing but nice throw in on a parlay to offset negative value elsewhere like MLing Packers. My whole weekend this time around is designed around the Packers winning. That’s the “Pressure Point Game”Originally posted by bobblehead View PostWe are at severe odds in the NFL. Bucs are laying 12 I think. Absolutely zero value on the ML and laying that wood on the road is suicidal. I've said my piece on Miami. And as for AZ, I actually thing the team you told me the packers couldn't compete with are getting back the most deadly duel threat in the game (Kittles). I could see a str8 upset, but I like +6 more. And again, the value on AZ ML is -260 which is more than I care to lay in a division game. AZ is at home, but SF has been in AZ since they were all but told by the governor you can't actually play or practice in SF.
I Feel Very Very good about it. It’s Boom or Bust!!!
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Arizona has been inconsistent and I would not be completely shocked with a Niner win but Zona is 9-2 against San Fran since 2015!! Cards are still playing for something. Niners defense has been horrible.Originally posted by bobblehead View PostWe are at severe odds in the NFL. Bucs are laying 12 I think. Absolutely zero value on the ML and laying that wood on the road is suicidal. I've said my piece on Miami. And as for AZ, I actually thing the team you told me the packers couldn't compete with are getting back the most deadly duel threat in the game (Kittles). I could see a str8 upset, but I like +6 more. And again, the value on AZ ML is -260 which is more than I care to lay in a division game. AZ is at home, but SF has been in AZ since they were all but told by the governor you can't actually play or practice in SF.
Cards ML is the “Safety Zone” for me!! Give me the Bird Gang!!!
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