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Why Obama is a lock to win the election

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  • Why Obama is a lock to win the election

    1) Money. It's estimated Obama is going to raise close to half a billion dollars for the fall campaign! That's what was said on a Sunday news show today, it sounds unbelievable. Whatever the figure is, he will have more money than he can reasonably spend. (even if you include hillary's bail-out ) McCain's war chest is going to be a tiny fraction of this.

    Obama's money-raising machine is a reflection of his appeal, so its fair.

    2) There were endless stories this spring about Republicans planning to vote for Obama. These anecdotes were presented as evidence of Obama's broad appeal, that Obama is the harbinger of a New Age of Unity and solution-based politics.

    In the last couple weeks, a lot of stories have been on TV and print about Democrats pledging to vote for McCain. This phenomena has been reported as a sort of mental defect or emotional imbalance. Hands are wrung by pundits as they discuss how this mental problem might be corrected in wayward Dems. The possibility that sane Democrats might simply prefer McCain is not even contemplated.

    Every election the media arguably favors one candidate or another. And McCain is well-liked by the media. But we've never seen a phenomena like this year. It's going to be nearly impossible to overcome the steady, sometimes subtle spin that Obama benefits from. It's a tidal wave. Kerry, Clinton, Gore, Dukakis .... past Democrats never had this level of push.

    3) Obama is going to project as a much more appealing figure than an aging John McCain. A certain percentage of the population is going to vote completely on personality. Obama has endless money with which to wage this American Idol campaign.

    4) The Republican brand name is dirty, even if Iraq stays hopeful. McCain is trying to distance himself from Bush, but even if he succeeds, a distancing campaign is unappealing. It's an albatross.

    5) The Republicans are going to dirty-up BHO, and his background and associates (including his closest associate) are fair game. They can make the race more competitive, but it won't be enough.

  • #2
    1) The RNC is raising money at arecord pace. Not McCains campaign but the RNC.

    2) is just crap

    3) same as one

    4) maybe--but the democrats dont have an electable candidate

    5) The RNC doesnt have to try. This guy is anything BUT presidential material.
    Lombardi told Starr to "Run it, and let's get the hell out of here!" - 'Ice Bowl' December 31, 1967

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    • #3
      Re: Why Obama is a lock to win the election

      Originally posted by Harlan Huckleby

      2) There were endless stories this spring about Republicans planning to vote for Obama. These anecdotes were presented as evidence of Obama's broad appeal, that Obama is the harbinger of a New Age of Unity and solution-based politics.
      The only stories that I saw this spring about Republican cross-over to Obama, (and they were "endless, I agree) were from the open primary states, with Republicans figuring Obama would be more beatable in the general election than Clinton would be so they voted for Obama. Obama's camp may have tried to put the spin on it that you mentioned, but I don't think Obama has any broad-based appeal among Republicans.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by sheepshead
        5) The RNC doesnt have to try. This guy is anything BUT presidential material.
        I tend to agree, but Bush wasn't qualified either in his first presidential campaign, nor was Clinton in his, nor Carter in his. Reagan may have been "presidential" in speech and demeanor, but he wasn't very qualified either at the time of his first election to the White House.

        We seem to have a history of electing unqualified candidates, and allowing on the job training for the President.

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        • #5
          and for your enjoyment:

          Lombardi told Starr to "Run it, and let's get the hell out of here!" - 'Ice Bowl' December 31, 1967

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Patler
            Originally posted by sheepshead
            5) The RNC doesnt have to try. This guy is anything BUT presidential material.
            I tend to agree, but Bush wasn't qualified either in his first presidential campaign, nor was Clinton in his, nor Carter in his. Reagan may have been "presidential" in speech and demeanor, but he wasn't very qualified either at the time of his first election to the White House.

            We seem to have a history of electing unqualified candidates, and allowing on the job training for the President.
            They were all governors. A few of them good ones, but they all had years of public service and accomplishments to point to. They all loved their country. Obama doesnt deserve the job he has.
            Lombardi told Starr to "Run it, and let's get the hell out of here!" - 'Ice Bowl' December 31, 1967

            Comment


            • #7
              McCain just doesn't look like a very strong candidate candidate to me. If he was, he would have been able to build a large lead in the polls when the Dems were divided and beating each other up. Now that that is no longer the case, I think McCain will have a hard time staying with Obama.

              Of course, anything can happen. Really though, I don't think this election is about McCain. It's about Obama. Americans will either embrace Obama or reject him. If they reject him, McCain will be the President, albeit probably not a very popular one.
              I can't run no more
              With that lawless crowd
              While the killers in high places
              Say their prayers out loud
              But they've summoned, they've summoned up
              A thundercloud
              They're going to hear from me - Leonard Cohen

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by sheepshead

                They were all governors. A few of them good ones, but they all had years of public service and accomplishments to point to. They all loved their country. Obama doesnt deserve the job he has.
                I'm not sure running Georgia or Arkansas offers much in training and experience to be President, nor Texas or California for that matter. Generally, state issues are different from national and international matters. Other than just general political experience, being governor doesn't give much in experience beyond what any business person learns. Obama has 12 years of public service, too; and at least has some exposure to issues of the nation.

                As for Obama's love for his country, I am not yet prepared to judge that. Clearly there are questions he must answer, no matter how much he tries to avoid or obscure them.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by Patler
                  Originally posted by sheepshead

                  They were all governors. A few of them good ones, but they all had years of public service and accomplishments to point to. They all loved their country. Obama doesnt deserve the job he has.
                  I'm not sure running Georgia or Arkansas offers much in training and experience to be President, nor Texas or California for that matter. Generally, state issues are different from national and international matters. Other than just general political experience, being governor doesn't give much in experience beyond what any business person learns. Obama has 12 years of public service, too; and at least has some exposure to issues of the nation.

                  As for Obama's love for his country, I am not yet prepared to judge that. Clearly there are questions he must answer, no matter how much he tries to avoid or obscure them.

                  Senators dont run or lead or manage anything. Governors have a big job. Maybe a civics lesson is in order.
                  Lombardi told Starr to "Run it, and let's get the hell out of here!" - 'Ice Bowl' December 31, 1967

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                  • #10
                    Please teach me, I am so uninformed.

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                    • #11
                      I have neither the time nor inclination.
                      Lombardi told Starr to "Run it, and let's get the hell out of here!" - 'Ice Bowl' December 31, 1967

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by sheepshead
                        I have neither the time nor inclination.
                        Nor the knowledge.

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                        • #13
                          Thanks for the lecture and personal attacks. Fits the template.
                          Lombardi told Starr to "Run it, and let's get the hell out of here!" - 'Ice Bowl' December 31, 1967

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by sheepshead
                            Thanks for the lecture and personal attacks. Fits the template.
                            The personal attack started with your comment about my "need for a civics lesson". Everything before that I expressed clearly as my opinion ("I'm not sure...", "I'm not prepared..."), which coincidently enough I also prefaced by stating I generally agreed with you, except for one point ("I tend to agree, but ...").

                            Until your civics lesson comment I made no direct remark toward you, I just disagreed slightly with one of 5 points you commented on.

                            And what "template" are you referring to?

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              and before you pull that lever in November, there's this:


                              Lombardi told Starr to "Run it, and let's get the hell out of here!" - 'Ice Bowl' December 31, 1967

                              Comment

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