1) Money. It's estimated Obama is going to raise close to half a billion dollars for the fall campaign! That's what was said on a Sunday news show today, it sounds unbelievable. Whatever the figure is, he will have more money than he can reasonably spend. (even if you include hillary's bail-out
) McCain's war chest is going to be a tiny fraction of this.
Obama's money-raising machine is a reflection of his appeal, so its fair.
2) There were endless stories this spring about Republicans planning to vote for Obama. These anecdotes were presented as evidence of Obama's broad appeal, that Obama is the harbinger of a New Age of Unity and solution-based politics.
In the last couple weeks, a lot of stories have been on TV and print about Democrats pledging to vote for McCain. This phenomena has been reported as a sort of mental defect or emotional imbalance. Hands are wrung by pundits as they discuss how this mental problem might be corrected in wayward Dems. The possibility that sane Democrats might simply prefer McCain is not even contemplated.
Every election the media arguably favors one candidate or another. And McCain is well-liked by the media. But we've never seen a phenomena like this year. It's going to be nearly impossible to overcome the steady, sometimes subtle spin that Obama benefits from. It's a tidal wave. Kerry, Clinton, Gore, Dukakis .... past Democrats never had this level of push.
3) Obama is going to project as a much more appealing figure than an aging John McCain. A certain percentage of the population is going to vote completely on personality. Obama has endless money with which to wage this American Idol campaign.
4) The Republican brand name is dirty, even if Iraq stays hopeful. McCain is trying to distance himself from Bush, but even if he succeeds, a distancing campaign is unappealing. It's an albatross.
5) The Republicans are going to dirty-up BHO, and his background and associates (including his closest associate) are fair game. They can make the race more competitive, but it won't be enough.
Obama's money-raising machine is a reflection of his appeal, so its fair.
2) There were endless stories this spring about Republicans planning to vote for Obama. These anecdotes were presented as evidence of Obama's broad appeal, that Obama is the harbinger of a New Age of Unity and solution-based politics.
In the last couple weeks, a lot of stories have been on TV and print about Democrats pledging to vote for McCain. This phenomena has been reported as a sort of mental defect or emotional imbalance. Hands are wrung by pundits as they discuss how this mental problem might be corrected in wayward Dems. The possibility that sane Democrats might simply prefer McCain is not even contemplated.
Every election the media arguably favors one candidate or another. And McCain is well-liked by the media. But we've never seen a phenomena like this year. It's going to be nearly impossible to overcome the steady, sometimes subtle spin that Obama benefits from. It's a tidal wave. Kerry, Clinton, Gore, Dukakis .... past Democrats never had this level of push.
3) Obama is going to project as a much more appealing figure than an aging John McCain. A certain percentage of the population is going to vote completely on personality. Obama has endless money with which to wage this American Idol campaign.
4) The Republican brand name is dirty, even if Iraq stays hopeful. McCain is trying to distance himself from Bush, but even if he succeeds, a distancing campaign is unappealing. It's an albatross.
5) The Republicans are going to dirty-up BHO, and his background and associates (including his closest associate) are fair game. They can make the race more competitive, but it won't be enough.

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