PIMPING STOCKS

[bobblehead]

Hey Bobble,

Give me a few home run stocks to research. I am very well vested in retirement funds so money I"m investing in stocks I can lose. That is why I look at stocks like PLTR, the FLying Car Stocks, and SOUN.

You have any favorite high risk/reward stocks ?

My faves have actually popped lately, but still have some room to run. I also don't "gamble" with much money at all. Talking like .5% of my portfolio. That being said, I have mentioned that biotech and biopharma are the real breakthrough techs on the horizon. AI is 20 years from doing the things investors are dreaming about today. When we cracked the genome investors had the same dreams, but comp speed wasn't up to the task. Well, in 25 years computers aren't even recognizable to those of 1998. Running a gene model that took 5000 days then takes 5 days now. So what does that mean? Some companies could have some stupid breakthroughs in the next several years.

I think I mentioned RPRX here before. They buy drug patents (some already on the market, some as early as stage 2 trials). This is a brilliant model and the stock was trading at 6.3x just yesterday (today naturally as I type this it announced some corporate moves and popped 12%). This is a no brainer 15x stock imo so you should have a stranglehold on 10% with very possible double or more in the next few years.

NRXP is a true gamble. I bought it at $1.50 with about .2% of my net worth. Thats how risky it is, but in just over a month its up to $4.80. Too late?? Depends on the time line. I expect $15 within a couple years if they move forward on the partnerships they are building with some bigger companies. Sometimes even though a stocks technicals are beyond my knowledge base (they are working on some neurotherapies) I can look at the leadership and how savvy they are at building partnerships. These guys are good. If they deliver on PTSD therapies a 400% return is almost a lock. But remember, if they fail zero is also possible.

ARDX is a stock I'm not in yet, and might still buy. Going for just over $5 a share and showing no profit, analysts (who are not bad for a stock like this) project near a $1 profit per share within 3 years (triggered by 400% growth in 2026). Stock has been around for a long time and was $25 in 2014 (which is where a lot of AI stocks are now and which is what I was saying about biotech pricing in 20 year promises back in 2000). I haven't done enough research yet, but they work on affecting how we absorb nutrients (yes, the bad ones especially) within our digestive tract. If you think the semiglutides are big, wait until a company can simply stop you from absorbing sodium or cholesterol. Again, I have no skin in this game yet and may not ever.

I'm generally a little early on things, and hedgefunds aren't in biotech right now, but that doesn't mean they won't be, and if/when big money piles into these stocks instead of reaching "fair" valuations of 15-25x the hype could drive them to stupid values like 50x. Just think if you buy a stock with 400% return to fair value and it then goes another 300% from that point. Problem is I'll start bleeding as they reach fair value and never actually get the 12 bagger. Its just my nature.

[call_me_ishmael]

TELL ME ABOUT HIMS


Would you be buying it now; do you love the stock long term ? It's one I'm learning about

Datadriveninvestor on twitter is a big HIMS guy. It is growing really fast. I think Amazon getting into Telehealth hurts them certainly. I'm not 100% sure how I feel about it, but I think the market for compounded pharmaceuticals is going to continue to get bigger with Ozempic and Tirzepatide being hard to come by.

HIMS has a CAGR of like 75%. They're growing really fast.

https://x.com/DataDInvesting/status/1866198945179009387

[Bretsky]

I am only in town briefly, and only have a minute, but let me shed some sanity on Palintir. Mind you I love Peter Thiel and he is a genius, but this stock is so insanely valued there is no planet it should be trading at $68. This doesn't mean it can't go to 100, as the stock market is a popularity contest in the short term, but let me just throw some numbers at you.

There are 20 really sharp analysts covering Palantir. They know the ins and outs of this company really well. They are projecting 25 and 22% growth over the next 2 years. Cool, sounds good. The company currently makes about 38 cents a share. Thats a P/E of about 179X. If the company grows by 100% for the next 3 years it could be worth close to what its trading for today.(.38 to 76 to 1.52 to 3.04 would give it a 22x which would be in line with forward 20% growth). Its not projected to grow anywhere near that and trying to see the stock market future beyond 3 years in the tech world is a fools errand.

I can't tell you when the house of cards falls, or even IF it will. The company could suddenly show you a breakout tech and earnings could go up 1000% in 2028.... But that is exactly what you are betting on if you own this stock and that's a really risky bet. Its just as likely other companies enter the exact area and hamstring Palantir causing it to be a player in a big market. If that happens you are looking at a company with great leadership that probably makes you about 1% for the next 5 years before stabilizing into a decent investment. I'd rather own something like Amgen that has done it for decades, has projected 5% average growth for the next 3 years with a 3.6% dividend trading at 13.5X (should be about 15X). If it reverts to the mean (which it always has historically) I am going to make almost 12% compounding for the next 3 years and its really predictable.

Chasing Palantir may work out but it comes with a LOT of risk and reasons to doubt it. Buying Amgen is almost a lock to get you 10% plus for a long time.

Hey Bobble,

Give me a few home run stocks to research. I am very well vested in retirement funds so money I"m investing in stocks I can lose. That is why I look at stocks like PLTR, the FLying Car Stocks, and SOUN.

You have any favorite high risk/reward stocks ?

[Bretsky]

I inventoried my holdings today across the several different accounts. This is the current balance of everything that I own - not including my current 401K and my previos jobs. I typically roll them over and manage them myself.

19.53% BTC
10.44% AMZN
9.67% TSLA
8.51% SOFI
8.43% SQ
5.41% PYPL
4.33% HOOD
4.06% CLSK
3.33% ETH
2.98% COIN
2.90% PLTR
2.90% GOOG
2.82% AAPL
2.78% SPY
2.71% NVDA
2.32% SHOP
2.05% META
1.70% SOL
1.59% MARA
1.16% HIMS
0.39% MSFT

I need to increase the holdings in HIMS and MSFT. SQ is through work and I hold it - but I also think some other stuff will outperform it.

I will likely sell some HOOD and buy AMZN with it. I will also probably sell a little SQ in exchange for MSFT.

It is surprising when you do this exercise. I guess the numbers might look quite different if I took crypto out.

Here is the same table without crypto. Anything jumping out to you all that I should balance better?

13.84% AMZN
12.81% TSLA
11.28% SOFI
11.17% SQ
7.18% PYPL
5.74% HOOD
5.38% CLSK
3.95% COIN
3.84% PLTR
3.84% GOOG
3.74% AAPL
3.69% SPY
3.59% NVDA
3.08% SHOP
2.72% META
2.10% MARA
1.54% HIMS
0.51% MSFT

TELL ME ABOUT HIMS


Would you be buying it now; do you love the stock long term ? It's one I'm learning about

[bobblehead]

I am only in town briefly, and only have a minute, but let me shed some sanity on Palintir. Mind you I love Peter Thiel and he is a genius, but this stock is so insanely valued there is no planet it should be trading at $68. This doesn't mean it can't go to 100, as the stock market is a popularity contest in the short term, but let me just throw some numbers at you.

There are 20 really sharp analysts covering Palantir. They know the ins and outs of this company really well. They are projecting 25 and 22% growth over the next 2 years. Cool, sounds good. The company currently makes about 38 cents a share. Thats a P/E of about 179X. If the company grows by 100% for the next 3 years it could be worth close to what its trading for today.(.38 to 76 to 1.52 to 3.04 would give it a 22x which would be in line with forward 20% growth). Its not projected to grow anywhere near that and trying to see the stock market future beyond 3 years in the tech world is a fools errand.

I can't tell you when the house of cards falls, or even IF it will. The company could suddenly show you a breakout tech and earnings could go up 1000% in 2028.... But that is exactly what you are betting on if you own this stock and that's a really risky bet. Its just as likely other companies enter the exact area and hamstring Palantir causing it to be a player in a big market. If that happens you are looking at a company with great leadership that probably makes you about 1% for the next 5 years before stabilizing into a decent investment. I'd rather own something like Amgen that has done it for decades, has projected 5% average growth for the next 3 years with a 3.6% dividend trading at 13.5X (should be about 15X). If it reverts to the mean (which it always has historically) I am going to make almost 12% compounding for the next 3 years and its really predictable.

Chasing Palantir may work out but it comes with a LOT of risk and reasons to doubt it. Buying Amgen is almost a lock to get you 10% plus for a long time.

[Bretsky]

I am wanting TSM, Taiwan Semiconductor to fall back a little bit here; I want to own that stock. Also looking to add to Amazon. I'm fighting the urge to shed my NVDA exposure. I bought about the same amount dollar wise as some other stocks but given it's crazy ride I own around 14 stocks in my Roth IRA account but NVDA is currently 22 percent of the value of the IRA, which is essentially fun money as I am very vested in 401K funds if I live that long...lol

I have no ego and am humble so if you have any thought on any of the stocks, good or bad, let me know and I'd be cool with comments. I tranferred an old Roth IRA, and them I have a very small portfolio of a few other stocks. I can afford to lose this money but it's SUPER BOWL or BUST for me )))) In other words, love the high risk/high reward. WOuld love comments, good of bad, about anything I own and/or stocks I should consider for the SUPER BOWL of growth.


Current Holdings in order or value

NVDA - Personally I still think this one has a ton of upside and is benefitting from the the AI revolution
AMD - Big Believer in this one
CRWD- Huge believer in Crowdstrke as well; this one just keep killing it with growth and earnings
PANW- Palo Alto Networks- Another security stock doing a lot of things right.
MSFT- Microsoft---Think there is plenty of room to run still
AMZN- Amazon---Bought at almost the exact share price as Google and am intrigued to watch them go up together
GOOG- Google- See Amazon comments
DKNG- Draft Kings---Honestly I am losing faith in this one. Bought early. I'm at about break even. Considering selling and rollling $$ elsewhere
F Ford --Bouught at 9 dollars. Kinda boring, but secure. I consider sellling often, and then I keep reading articles about Ford,EV, and Growth and end up not doing so
AAPL - Apple Was short funds but wanted to drip into a few shares here. I should really add a few more but I think I like other stocks better
DDOG DataDog Another high upside tech stock
PPYL- Paypal God I'm not sure how much I like this one anymore.

YES, I KNOW I"m way over exposed to technology here. It's always my love to research and I've did ok with market timing in past knowing this.

MINI PORTFOLIO OF STOCKS

SQ---- I bought a small 75 shares at $10 per share and have been holding hoping for more of a rise
NOW- Service Now. Just have 5 shares but about the same percentage gain as SQ
MARV- Marvell Technologies---Did well on this one
PLTR- Palantir Technologies---Could be a AI home run. Recent buy so only up about 15%
SOFI - My loser right now- Down about 10%


MY WATCHLIST I AM INTERESTED IN

TSM--Taiwin Semiconductor. Shame on me for being such a DUMBASS and not buying this one when I first wanted to around the $110- range
META- Facebook I don't know why I don't own this one
MSTR- Microstrategy Shame on me; a way to benefit from the CRYPTO run
COIN Coinbase. WORST move in 2023 was getting scared and sellling my shares when I was at a break even point

The high upside, high risk, small cap wild cards

SOUN---Soundhorn----AI voice technology
JOBY- Joby Aviation- See the future; Flying Car Stock. They are being tested. But will they ever happen ?
EHANG---The other dominant flying car stock to consider
BLBD----Bluebird Corp--EV Buses; hugh growth and a high backlog of orders. I've lost on a few EV stocks so gunshy but this one seems like it could keep going
BITF-- Bitfarms- A little Crypto mining stock that has been receiving lot of love lately at investorplace.com


Feel free to tell me your Super Bowl or Bust Candidates, and make a case ? OR rip mine to shreds ))))

DAMMIT my favorite Wild Card Stock SOUND took off iike a rocket in the past month; almost bought it at $5 but didn't have the stones....STUPID ME

Flying Car Stocks are also going much higher as of let. Add Archer Aviation into the group with JOBY and EHANG

[Bretsky]

I bought 1000 shares of Palantir at 13.87 and it’s up to 76… thinking of selling 30% to at least double my initial investment. But others are saying to hold. Also bought Freshworks as lots of big investors have dropped Palantir for them. Idk

Tell me more about Freshworks Fosco

[Bretsky]

I inventoried my holdings today across the several different accounts. This is the current balance of everything that I own - not including my current 401K and my previos jobs. I typically roll them over and manage them myself.

19.53% BTC
10.44% AMZN
9.67% TSLA
8.51% SOFI
8.43% SQ
5.41% PYPL
4.33% HOOD
4.06% CLSK
3.33% ETH
2.98% COIN
2.90% PLTR
2.90% GOOG
2.82% AAPL
2.78% SPY
2.71% NVDA
2.32% SHOP
2.05% META
1.70% SOL
1.59% MARA
1.16% HIMS
0.39% MSFT

I need to increase the holdings in HIMS and MSFT. SQ is through work and I hold it - but I also think some other stuff will outperform it.

I will likely sell some HOOD and buy AMZN with it. I will also probably sell a little SQ in exchange for MSFT.

It is surprising when you do this exercise. I guess the numbers might look quite different if I took crypto out.

Here is the same table without crypto. Anything jumping out to you all that I should balance better?

13.84% AMZN
12.81% TSLA
11.28% SOFI
11.17% SQ
7.18% PYPL
5.74% HOOD
5.38% CLSK
3.95% COIN
3.84% PLTR
3.84% GOOG
3.74% AAPL
3.69% SPY
3.59% NVDA
3.08% SHOP
2.72% META
2.10% MARA
1.54% HIMS
0.51% MSFT

I only own about 18 stocks but I have 10 of the ones you mentioned above.

Of the ones you own, which do you think have good value ? I have been watching SHOP for a while.

You are missing some really good Cyber Security stocks And TSM

[Bretsky]

I just dumped 40-50% of mine. I sold at 71ish after making 3 or 3.5x. It's smart to take some earnings. It's irrationally expensive PE right now but so are other stocks like TSLA. I think PLTR will do well so smart to hold on to some. I also just like what Alex Karp stands for and I think they're a strong American first company.

I bought PLTR between 15-19. I want to add more on a fallback. I think there is still huge growth and profit ahead for that one.

Yesterday I finally sold some of my NVDA shares and re invested it by adding shares of Taiwan Semiconductor ...TSM...and Palo Alto Networks and Micron MU. I think TSM is going to fly high in the next 5 years and has tremendous upside. Palo should grow well and Micron doesn't have the momentum or growth as the others but it I think there is value here where it's priced.

[RandsRevenge]

^^^ I would assume Palantir analytical systems could help you decide what to do their stock.

[call_me_ishmael]

I bought 1000 shares of Palantir at 13.87 and it’s up to 76… thinking of selling 30% to at least double my initial investment. But others are saying to hold. Also bought Freshworks as lots of big investors have dropped Palantir for them. Idk

I just dumped 40-50% of mine. I sold at 71ish after making 3 or 3.5x. It's smart to take some earnings. It's irrationally expensive PE right now but so are other stocks like TSLA. I think PLTR will do well so smart to hold on to some. I also just like what Alex Karp stands for and I think they're a strong American first company.

[Fosco33]

I bought 1000 shares of Palantir at 13.87 and it’s up to 76… thinking of selling 30% to at least double my initial investment. But others are saying to hold. Also bought Freshworks as lots of big investors have dropped Palantir for them. Idk

[Tony Oday]

I inventoried my holdings today across the several different accounts. This is the current balance of everything that I own - not including my current 401K and my previos jobs. I typically roll them over and manage them myself.

19.53% BTC
10.44% AMZN
9.67% TSLA
8.51% SOFI
8.43% SQ
5.41% PYPL
4.33% HOOD
4.06% CLSK
3.33% ETH
2.98% COIN
2.90% PLTR
2.90% GOOG
2.82% AAPL
2.78% SPY
2.71% NVDA
2.32% SHOP
2.05% META
1.70% SOL
1.59% MARA
1.16% HIMS
0.39% MSFT

I need to increase the holdings in HIMS and MSFT. SQ is through work and I hold it - but I also think some other stuff will outperform it.

I will likely sell some HOOD and buy AMZN with it. I will also probably sell a little SQ in exchange for MSFT.

It is surprising when you do this exercise. I guess the numbers might look quite different if I took crypto out.

Here is the same table without crypto. Anything jumping out to you all that I should balance better?

13.84% AMZN
12.81% TSLA
11.28% SOFI
11.17% SQ
7.18% PYPL
5.74% HOOD
5.38% CLSK
3.95% COIN
3.84% PLTR
3.84% GOOG
3.74% AAPL
3.69% SPY
3.59% NVDA
3.08% SHOP
2.72% META
2.10% MARA
1.54% HIMS
0.51% MSFT

I have some crypto but my guy has a lot in funds not in individual stocks. We are in the middle of a bond play I think.

[call_me_ishmael]

I inventoried my holdings today across the several different accounts. This is the current balance of everything that I own - not including my current 401K and my previos jobs. I typically roll them over and manage them myself.

19.53% BTC
10.44% AMZN
9.67% TSLA
8.51% SOFI
8.43% SQ
5.41% PYPL
4.33% HOOD
4.06% CLSK
3.33% ETH
2.98% COIN
2.90% PLTR
2.90% GOOG
2.82% AAPL
2.78% SPY
2.71% NVDA
2.32% SHOP
2.05% META
1.70% SOL
1.59% MARA
1.16% HIMS
0.39% MSFT

I need to increase the holdings in HIMS and MSFT. SQ is through work and I hold it - but I also think some other stuff will outperform it.

I will likely sell some HOOD and buy AMZN with it. I will also probably sell a little SQ in exchange for MSFT.

It is surprising when you do this exercise. I guess the numbers might look quite different if I took crypto out.

Here is the same table without crypto. Anything jumping out to you all that I should balance better?

13.84% AMZN
12.81% TSLA
11.28% SOFI
11.17% SQ
7.18% PYPL
5.74% HOOD
5.38% CLSK
3.95% COIN
3.84% PLTR
3.84% GOOG
3.74% AAPL
3.69% SPY
3.59% NVDA
3.08% SHOP
2.72% META
2.10% MARA
1.54% HIMS
0.51% MSFT

[call_me_ishmael]

I’ve really been enjoying this guys twitter feed and how he breaks down price analys https://x.com/dimitrynakhlais.