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So Rodgers admits he pussied out on running it cuz he figured he'd have another shot. That is just piss poor.
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So Rodgers admits he pussied out on running it cuz he figured he'd have another shot. That is just piss poor.The only time success comes before work is in the dictionary -- Vince Lombardi -
You cherry pick one analytics site.Originally posted by Anti-Polar Bear View Post
ESPN's analytics slightly favored going for it.
WP go: 10.0%
WP kick: 9.5%
Another source of in-game win probability information, DeckPrism Sports, which supplies in-game odds to sports betting operations, had win probabilities with two differences from the other sources. It had a much higher win probability for the Packers whether Green Bay attempted the field goal or went for it and it also calculated LaFleur’s optimal choice being to kick.Green Bay gains 2.5% win chance, 27.5% vs 25%, by kicking a field goal 4th and goal from 8. Been awhile since FG was correct, but Lafleur nails it.
Our live odds would have had it breakeven at the 4.5 yard line. ie kick from the 5, go for it from the 4.I would have been fine with either decision. I don't think there was a right or wrong move.So, while it is true that the Packers would have had a stronger incentive to go for the touchdown if Rodgers had scrambled on third down, the SIS model indicates that the Packers still had an uphill battle, which relates back to what Walder said:
Scoring a touchdown would’ve still required a two-point conversion to tie, and even if the game was tied, Tom Brady’s Buccaneers would’ve been much better positioned to kick a field goal to win the game in regulation. Moreover, even if the Packers were to have everything go right, including getting a stop and forcing overtime, the game would still just be a 50-50 proposition at that point."There's a lot of interest in the draft. It's great. But quite frankly, most of the people that are commenting on it don't know anything about what they are talking about."--Ted ThompsonComment
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That's how I feel about it to. I think the biggest mistake is the one MLF admitted to, not telling Rodgers they would be kicking, not going for it on 4th.Originally posted by HarveyWallbangers View Post--
Imagine for a moment a world without hypothetical situations...Comment
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He also had MVS in the corner with position to throw back inside to the goal posts.Originally posted by bobblehead View Post
Rodgers focused too heavily on Adams the last two throws.Comment
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And let us not forget that Adams, as wonderful as he is, dropped a touchdown pass in the first half that would have changed the decision-making here. And of course ESB dropped that two-point conversion. I think that drop is something he's going to have to work awfully hard to overcome in this training camp. He probably needs to catch every single ball thrown to him.Originally posted by Sparkey View Post"The Devine era is actually worse than you remember if you go back and look at it."
KYPackComment
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And someone, can't say who for sure, didn't run the ball the entire 4th quarter.Originally posted by Sparkey View PostThe only time success comes before work is in the dictionary -- Vince LombardiComment
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I was surprised that they gave up on the run so quickly after Aaron Jones went down. I would have thought AJ Dillon would have been the perfect choice to get some carries in that fourth quarter. Jamaal Williams is a nice back, can do some things really well, but he only can get what is there - and not much was admittedly there. On the other hand, Dillon can bang through some people and ought to have gotten some carries, if for no other reason than to keep those damn TB pass rushers from just teeing it up on poor Rick Wagner."The Devine era is actually worse than you remember if you go back and look at it."
KYPackComment
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Jamaal Williams is better than that. I expect his YAC will be better than AJ Dillon in 2021.
That said, AJ is younger and cheaper and of similar potential.Comment
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I thought the whole point of drafting Dillon was to batter the living crap out of defenses in late season games. It was bizarre how they didn't use the right weapon at the right time. There's a time for the rapier, there's a time for the dirk, there's a time for the war-hammer. SMH.Originally posted by Fritz View PostComment
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The only way I want Rodgers back next year is if he agrees to do Brady contracts... We'll never win a SB with him taking up so much cap...Comment
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To a limited degree I do think he meant in when he said it wasn't about money. But he views the money as the respect also. And I still believe he doesn't want to play anywhere but Green Bay.Originally posted by ptisme View PostThe only time success comes before work is in the dictionary -- Vince LombardiComment
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Same with this one. Frankly this is the best content of the past year.
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Do they have the one where Gutes smiles wryly and says "knew I could get him for exactly 2 more years after I drafted his replacement and then be able to still trade him for max value"The only time success comes before work is in the dictionary -- Vince LombardiComment
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RECAP of getting AROD back--My theory as well as some of those who cover the Packers
Rodgers- Not coming unless you show me some luv and bring back Randall
Gutebag---Ignores the request....piss off
Matty Ice the Coach to Gute- For gods sake give up a late round pick for Cobb- Continues to use Media to praise how wonderful AROD is time after time...praying silently he comes back
Gutebag- Ignores request further
MARCIA MARCIA MARCIA--Gootie Schmmootie.....just give up a late round pick to get Cobb back so AROD shows up
Gutebag- Pouts but finally gives in
FOLLOW UP PRESSER--Questions Asked
Gutebag- Instead of saying GB is always looking to improve and Randall Cobb gives that opporunity.....in a pouting manner basically says he didn't want Randall Cobb and that was forced by RodgersTERD Buckley over Troy Vincent, Robert Ferguson over Chris Chambers, Kevn King instead of TJ Watt, and now, RICH GANNON, over JIMMY JIMMY JIMMY LEONARD. Thank you FLOWERComment
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